Super Bowl LIX Preview, Prop Bets, and More

February 07, 2025 01:17:36
Super Bowl LIX Preview, Prop Bets, and More
Sources from the Sofa
Super Bowl LIX Preview, Prop Bets, and More

Feb 07 2025 | 01:17:36

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Show Notes

Rome, Aaron, and Jaeson talk Super Bowl LIX which features a match up full of fascinating storylines including the Kansas City Chiefs, who are looking to become the first team in NFL history to win back-to-back-to-back; and the Philadelphia Eagles, who are looking to avenge their loss to the same Chiefs in the Super Bowl two years ago. They then go on a tangent only possible when fueled by energy drinks and tiredness when they talk local-sports radio in Southern California in the 2010's (35:34) before finally getting into Aaron's Super Bowl Prop Bets (42:07). Things get weird again at the end, but we promise, you don't want to miss this pod from the guys. 

 
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Episode Transcript

[00:00:01] Speaker A: Guys, the big games here. Super Bowl 59, the Kansas City Chiefs against the Philadelphia Eagles. Everyone's favorite team. The game that everyone wanted. Just kidding. Unless you're a KC or even an Eagles fan, I don't know about you. I'm not really excited to see a 3P in the NFL. At least now with these Chiefs, now with this team, I'm a big Saquon guy. So go Eagles, go. First, we talk a little about the game. Different aspects. Me, Aaron and Jason. Offense, defense, special teams, coaches, you know who got the edge. Then we talk some super bowl prop bets. Aaron picked out 10 for us to follow. I challenged him to pick a few more of some value. So we're going to be posting those up on X. So be on the lookout Saturday night, Sunday morning for additional super bowl bets that you can put your credit card, your little extra cash on because it's going to be coming. But before we go into the best, we get a little distracted. We kind of, you know, it's late night when we recorded this thing. Jason's on Monster, I'm on Celsius. We're on cloud nine. We're on something at one in the morning while recording the pod. So we get a little delirious and talk a little sports radio. Growing up in Southern California in the. In in the 2000 and tens for some reason. Before we jump back into the super bowl talk. So without further delay, sources from the sofa. Super Bowl 59 edition. You don't want to miss this. It's a really fun pod. Don't go anywhere. This is it. It's me with the guys. Jason, Aaron, we are going to go over the super bowl. Talk about some prop bets. Who we got winning, all that good stuff. It is a rematch from the super bowl two years ago where the Eagles look like they were going to win and there was a mysterious holding penalty that gave Kansas City the opportunity to steal a victory. It was very New England Patriot like, a lot of these calls are very New England Patriot like, you can call it however you want it. If you don't think the refs are a part of it, I think you might be full of, you know, watch those eyes and get them cleaned because I'm going to be paying a really close attention to see how many holding calls are going against that KCO line. But anyways, I digress because we'll get into that. This will be really exciting. Kansas City is. Man, they've had a couple of rematches for a couple teams. The 49ers. Now the Eagles like the ninth time in the past 12 seasons that the preseason super bowl favorite has reached the Super Bowl. The Chiefs were five to one favorites and nine out of the past 10 have covered the spread. The only team that didn't cover the spread were the Rams when they beat the Bengals in 2022. So they're be playing New Orleans. Chiefs are favor by one and a half over under 48 and a half. It opened at 49, so it went down just a little bit. And every expert on every media channel platform is basically picking the Chiefs to win it all to complete the coveted three peat that has never happened in the history of the NFL. Guys, where do you want to start? [00:03:56] Speaker B: Well, I think looking at the matchups of the game itself. You have an Eagles team, depends what stat you're looking at. But they're the number one ranked defense in the league in the regular season. So you're going against a Chiefs offense that wasn't impressive all season. You know, they got by pretty much by their defense and timely scoring versus, you know, overwhelming offenses of the past. With the Chiefs running game, defense has really been the Eagles mo overall defensively, least amount of yards allowed per the game. I think they have the second least amount of points scored, touchdowns overall. I think second lease in the league behind the Chargers for that aspect of being. So you got a pretty much lockdown D versus an offense that hasn't done a ton. They've been, I don't know, smoke and mirrors to a degree with Mahomes and if you're going to go into what Rome is trying to allude to here, they've gotten the calls when they've needed the calls when it came through. And you know, every, every bounce of everything seemed to go their way including if Harrison Bucker was going to hit an upright, it hit the upright and go in versus, you know, a couple of those games this season. So Saquon Barkley, we've talked about him all season from the Eagles perspective. What is he going to be able to do in this game? I know we'll get to some prop bets a little bit later, but if you're looking at like rushing defense, you know, Chiefs top 10 in the league and rushing defense, you know they are, you know, that's a slight competitive edge I think over the, the Eagles defense. But that's really been the strength of this Chiefs team. Has been able to prevent teams from, you know, getting anything going on the running game. But on the passing side, you know, they've been kind of middle of the road. They're 18th overall as far from a passing perspective. But they tighten up when it gets into that red zone. Because from, from a scoring perspective, it's, they're like the number four scoring defense in the league. So they're going to allow you to play between the 20s and get into the red zone, but they're not gonna, they're not gonna allow you to score. And that's gonna be what can the Eagles do inside the 20 in the red zone? How they're gonna use Saquon? Can Saquon hit the big home run? Where it becomes irrelevant of how they tighten up in the end zone. And then Jalen hurts, you know, where, where, where is he going to be able to find those openings? I think you've seen him shine the best when we teams start over committing to Saquon and allows more stuff that he can do. Jalen hurts can down the field to Devonte or A.J. brown. [00:06:58] Speaker C: Yeah, I mean, the Eagles, Jason, like you said, defensively they've been really good all year. Both teams have. I mean, Kansas City's defense has carried them a number of games. The offense has looked a lot better here over the last month or two. Getting, you know, Hollywood Brown back healthy. Pacheco's come back in the lineup using a limited fashion, but Marquis Brown has added the dimension to this offense that they expected to have early in the year. Obviously he got hurt in the preseason, so Kansas City finally scored over 30 points in the last game, the first time they did that all year. So I mean, the formula for me looking at the Chiefs is can you score 30 points against them? I mean, they hadn't been able to get to that benchmark Ru all year. They got to that against Buffalo, Philadelphia, what are they giving up, like 17 points a game? They've been really good here in the playoffs too. Shut down the packers, shut down the Commanders and Jaden Daniels. Rams did some nice things against them, but you know, they got the big, they got the big stops and the turnovers were needed. Saquan again, can he hit the home run? Will the Chiefs be able to stop him? I mean, the Chiefs, defensively you've been able to run on them. Joe Mixon had a good game. James Cook, second half, it was all him really, for Buffalo. They got him going. You know, Saquon's going to get a heavy dosage. Can they mix in the play action and you know, get some passing? They're going to get a lot of one on one coverage. You know, the Chiefs like to play man to man. You Know, Spags likes to bring the blitz on second and third down. If the game is tight, you know, he's blitzing. There's no, there's no gimmicks. You don't know exactly where it's going to come from, but he's gonna blitz. He's not going to sit back and just, you know, play coverage. So, you know, you're going to get blitzes. You got maybe the best offensive line in the league. Saquon's really good at picking up pressures on the blitz, too. So can they get the. Jalen hurts in plays to where he's not, you know, having to make, you know, big third and eights, third and nines, you know, keep it third and two, third and three so he can use his legs too, and run. That's the dynamic they've had. Last time these two teams played, it was a 38, 35 shootout, questionable, you know, late hold there against Juju, it was. I mean, it was ticky tack, but ticky tack by all measures. [00:09:17] Speaker A: Yeah. [00:09:17] Speaker C: I mean, eight, nine out of ten times that's not called a penalty. And just play on. I mean, the Chiefs were still going to get a field goal there regardless. There's a lot of factors in this game. I mean, defensively, offensively, special teams, coaching wise. I mean, if you look at it, I think Philly has the edge almost everywhere, except probably quarterback and head coaching. I mean, defensively, they're a little bit better. Offensively, I think they're a little bit better. Special teams I give the edge to. The Chiefs have been really good. The return game's been good here, but it's going to come down to, you know, executing, not turning the ball over. And special teams is going to play a big role in this game, obviously. So every game the Chiefs have been in the super bowl, it's been tight. The Eagles have been in the super bowl what, say, three times over the last 20 years. All their games have been really competitive and close, dating back to the Patriots era. So, I mean, we're looking at another classic. Come down to the wire, final eight minutes, two, three possessions here. They're going to probably decide this game. [00:10:24] Speaker A: Yeah, it's pretty interesting about the. The rankings overall for offense at least. Eagles were second in the NFL in rushing with 179 a game. In the playoffs, they bumped up those numbers to the 227. Whereas the Chiefs, yeah, go hella down 105 during the year and it's dropped down to 92 in the playoffs. That's a difference of 130 yards passing is where it's a little interesting. Eagles are down below. They were the fourth worst team in the NFL at 187 and it's 138 in the playoffs. Chiefs middle of the pack. They were 222 in the regular season. Is dropped down a little bit. Most of the teams dropped down. Typically they're down to just under 200. So overall, Eagles, because of the running, they got the slight edge on offense, but it's gonna be really fun to see who wins. That defensive line of the Chiefs or the offensive line of the Eagles. Saquon's definitely gonna find those holes. Gotta believe it. [00:11:32] Speaker B: Yeah, it just takes. It takes one linebacker in a missed assignment or getting, you know, caught up on a chip block or something like that. I mean, we look at. I'm getting my week confused, but was it either two weeks ago or three weeks ago? Whenever I think. I think it was in the. Yeah, it was the Washington game because it was Bobby Wagner. And in the first. That first play, like Wagner takes the right approach to the hole and gets just delayed ever so slightly by. By. By someone getting his defensive lineman pushed back and just. Saquon just had the open lane. And it just takes one, you know, missed assignment like that for Saquon to really make some damage in the open field. And then he's just so much harder to get. Get down, you know, from a sec, from a secondary, you know, player. So it'll be interesting the. The unfortunate part, I think, going around this game. [00:12:28] Speaker A: Yeah. [00:12:28] Speaker B: We talked about the, the matchups, how close the spread is, how evenly matched they are. You know, it's going to come down to a call, and I think that's. That's just going to be what the game is going to be known for because it's going to be so close in every. Which one of the game in some call that's, you know, it's a shoelace difference. It's a ticky tack call that could have gone either way, but we'll say it's soft or something like. That's. That's what it's primed to be. The outrage after this, especially if it goes to the chief's way. Especially if it goes the chief way, where everyone's going to be talking about it. And that's. It's just how razor thin probably the margin for error is. And this is where the human aspect of the game's going to come into play. [00:13:13] Speaker C: Yeah, I think the referee aspect, since we've Been talking about so much and it's been brought up by every team that's played the Chiefs. This might be one of the games where the referee swallow whistle and maybe it's a call that should be made that's not called. Where they just are like we're just gonna let them play. Maybe the Chiefs get, get the bad end of a non call just because the referees are just like, we don't want to be a part of like the controversy. Like hey, it's 50, 50 or 60, 40, let's just let it play on. I mean going back on Saquon, I mean like you said Jason, I mean if you take the wrong angle, this guy will make you pay. I mean the speed of get through the hole there is unbelievable. An interesting stat. The average running back I think gets contact about a yard into a play. The Philadelphia Eagles are like at 2.1. They're like double the league average before a running back even, even is contacted by a defender. I mean, so you take a wrong angle. Even if you take the right angle, if you're over pursuing because you see a play coming, Saquon can come back real quick on you make a big play there. I, I'm hoping it doesn't come down to a referee call here where it's you know, a ticky tag penalty, let them play out unless it's really, really obvious. I mean I know the NFL supposedly unruffing the passer calls and other penalties. They're using their in game replay where they can supposedly let the referees know that that's not a penalty and they can overturn it. That might be something that comes into play here. So we'll see what happens. I mean again we're hoping for not any controversy when it comes to the referees. [00:14:56] Speaker A: Yeah, let's talk about the offenses real quick. Let's start with the Eagle side. Nick Sirianni's leading the way. You either love him or you hate them. We talked a lot about him this year. Guy's nuts. But you know what? I'm starting to love him now. [00:15:10] Speaker C: They look like you, Rome, if I'm. [00:15:12] Speaker A: Being honest, I don't know. [00:15:15] Speaker B: That means he swears off alcohol every week too. [00:15:20] Speaker A: I haven't drank since last weekend. I don't know. [00:15:25] Speaker C: I mean you, I think you came on the show Monday, Rome, and said Sunday night was a long night for you. So we'll say three days. We'll give you. Was that the 72 hour window? [00:15:35] Speaker A: I didn't go on Sunday night. I went out Saturday night. [00:15:37] Speaker C: Okay, into Into Sunday morning, though, right? [00:15:40] Speaker A: Yeah. I didn't get home. It's like five in the morning. [00:15:41] Speaker C: Okay. Yeah. [00:15:45] Speaker A: Thought I met the love of my life. You can't blame me. I'm single. I'm trying. I'm still trying to learn here. Anyways, back to offenses. Last time they were in the super bowl, they were led by a different offensive coordinator who now coached the Colts. Kevin Moore has definitely turned it around. Like, that's where they kind of looked a little deadpan last year, I thought. He's turned around the offense really well. Both sides, right? Huh? [00:16:10] Speaker B: Kellen Moore. [00:16:11] Speaker A: Oh, Kellen Moore. What'd I say? [00:16:13] Speaker C: I believe you said Kevin. [00:16:14] Speaker A: Kevin. Is that what it sound like? Yeah. And so they have a lot of weapons. You know, Saquon Barkley has obviously, you know, transformed that whole offense. You know, he's just a juggernaut. But A.J. brown, Devonte Smith, Dallas Goder, you know, lots of weapons for Jalen Hurts to take advantage of. Jalen Hurts has had his fair criticisms. Philly's like hit or miss on him. If you, like, read the message boards and stuff like that, you either like him, you hate him as well, but this guy has been winning and he hasn't been passing the ball all that much. They're not asking him to do a lot, but he showed that he can do both in the air and with his legs and, you know, audible at the right times to give the ball in the. In the right hands at the right time. So who do you guys give the edge to when it comes to offense against defense? I don't know if you guys want to talk about Casey's offense now, but at least from this standpoint, going against Casey's defense, they don't make a lot of mistakes. This unit has been carrying Kansas City now for what, two, three years? That's what brought him to the super bowl last year and then back to back years. Jesus Christ. I'm just drawing a blank right now. Kermit the Frog, Patrick Mahomes, you know, he didn't play great last season in the regular season or this year, but in the playoffs, he just turned it on at the right time. And they went for a Super bowl run. And this year, good games here and there. He's been working with, with the rotating door at running back and wide receiver. Now they got some guys back. They're using guys that no one else won the league where they traded them away or they signed somewhere else in the off season and they came back. Smith, Schuster, Cream, the list goes on. So how do you guys like each offense going to the Super Bowl? [00:18:25] Speaker B: Yeah, it was an interesting year for Hertz because I think when he displaced Carson Wentz as the starter of this team and then they added AJ Brown to the mix. So I guess really going up to the last super bowl appearance, like, hey, it's. It's a guy that was gonna be. Be the. The future and is the future of the court, of the team. But with Saquon this year, it's been like, okay, you don't need to do as much. We can rely in the running game and, you know, it's. It's a timeliness of passes. You know, he got hurt. Was he out for a couple weeks or something like that? So when you look at the overall stats for him this season, I think he only had like 2900 passing yards or something like that, so it really wasn't something to write home about. But, you know, it was. It was a. It was a blueprint to win games and, and scoring. The timeliness, I think on the Chief side, offensively, like, you get rid of Tyree Kill a couple years ago, everyone pretty much says, okay, that's the end of, you know, the Chief's dynasty at that point, at that time, would they only have the one super bowl and lost the super bowl to Brady, what it's going to be. And now you've completely kind of flipped the strip where the. As Rome you mentioned the defenses carried, you know, carried this team, but offensively, they just have found a way. I. I think I mentioned in the season preview about Kelsey, like, hey, we'll see a couple pops from Kelsey throughout the year, but it's going to be not until the. Till the postseason and they turn it on and like, they're going to find all the creative ways for this guy to get the ball. And it's pretty much been the story majority of the postseason. And yeah, they've been able to just take, you know, guys, I don't want to say off the street, but you mentioned Kareem Hunt. Hey, wasn't on a team in camp. Bring him in after you lose Pacheco, and He puts up 700 yards and is a valuable back there. I think they, you know, they got P. Ryan that got released by the Broncos, put him in some situations, you know, in the. In the passing game, out of the backfield, you know, so. And then they get Pacheco back, and now, hey, we're just mixing and matching in the backfield. You don't know what look you're given. You've had juju, Smith, Schuster, you bring in Hopkins, you know, you had Skymore and stuff throughout, throughout the year. Just they're able to kind of plug and play stuff and Mahomes put them in positions. But, like, they're not relying on the big home run from Tyreek. They're able to methodically go down the field and play a field position game. And yeah, they probably have more punts than they did when this offense was putting up, you know, 35, 40 points a game. And it seemed like any deficit was always, like, never safe because they were to storm back and score right away. But now, hey, we're going to slow the game down, rely on our defense, play the field position, try not to turn the ball over. I think it's just, it's a different way. It's not overwhelming. And I think the Eagles have done similar styles with, hey, we're going to control the ball in the running game. We got the best offensive line in the league. We lost Jason Kelce and seemingly replaced him with maybe that somebody better at center. Some have said, I don't know. But the offensive line is just as good, if not better in years past. So, hey, we'll lean on the strength. We'll own the clock. We're going to, you know, we can talk about that. The Notre Dame game where they just, what they took off, like, more than half of the first quarter, just methodically go down the field. You know, the Eagles can do that if they want, but then also hit a home run in the running game at the same time, too. They can do either. So there's just a lot of different looks both can give it. But I mean, we'll get into again, we'll get to the props a little later. But they both have the. They both have the ability to make the super bowl kind of boring, too, because you could say we're just going to have. We're going to have these long drives and we're going to waste a lot of time and everything goes to third down and. Or everything goes to fourth down and we got, you know, you got the, you know, the tush push and things like. Like, it could be a boring old super bowl where it's like you know, 13 to 10 in the half or something like that. And it's just these long drives that took a lot of time. Like, totally could see that potentially happening because these teams would want to control it. [00:22:22] Speaker C: Yeah, I mean, if you look at what the Eagles like to do defensively, they don't. They don't give Up a lot of big plays. Remember that was kind of the downfall last year. I mean, they were 11 and 1. But their defense, they changed what defensive coordinators midway through the season, they weren't ever really in the groove offensively. Gillen Moore comes in there, say what you want, he did a great job with the Cowboys. They had a top five offense four of the years that he was OC there. You know, Mike McCarthy didn't like him or maybe felt pressure that he was going to take his job there. Moved off him. He went to the charges for one year. Herbert got hurt, Allen got hurt, Williams got hurt. The charges were a mess. They went 5 and 12. Made a coaching change there. So then he lands on his feet in Philadelphia and you know, with Jalen Hurts, you know, Kaylin Moore is like, hey, look, early in the year he kind of pitted on Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts was turning the ball over a lot. I mean, those first five games he had a ton of turnovers. I think the Eagles were like 2 and 2 after the first four weeks. They lost that game. Rome, you were here that Monday nighter against the Falcons. They got blown out at Tampa Bay. People were asking, what's wrong? Sirianni was on the hot seat. And then Saquon just started like going off from there. Like they became the number one running team. They run the ball more than any team. They got back to what they do best. Hey, we got the best offensive line, we got the best running back in the league. Let's do what we do best. And then their defense picked up. The Chiefs. Tyree Kill is not there. So what does Andy Reid does? He gets veteran players that fit the scheme, fit the system, that are established players that can make plays when they need to. I mean, D. Hopkins, Rome, you mentioned they trade for him. He comes, he was on the team, he plays well. [00:24:07] Speaker A: Juju. [00:24:08] Speaker C: Juju signs a 3 year, 30 million dollar deal of the Patriots and Bill Belichick doesn't do anything there. Now he's back, he's back with the Chiefs. You know, they go out, they get Brown, Hollywood Brown. Arizona gave up on him. Baltimore gave up on him all sudden and he looks good. And then they mix in this wiry Xavier Worthy, 165, £4,240, and they run into round reverses and all kind of trick plays and, you know, get him in motion and try to confuse the defense. And then Cream Hunt, he was supposed to be this great thing with the Chiefs and he gets that, you know, legal trouble, goes to the Browns, plays hard Comes back now to the Chiefs. Jason said 700 yards. He probably got like 10 or 12 touchdowns. I think I read Kareem Hunt has a touchdown in every playoff game. He's played in six touchdowns, six games. [00:24:57] Speaker A: Really? [00:24:57] Speaker C: Yeah, I saw that stat earlier. And then you know, they just go out. Kelsey's Kelsey, big games. He steps up. He was big against Houston. Buffalo took him away. And then they went to, you know, Juju and all the other veterans. Xavier Worthy had what, two touchdowns in that game. Andy Reid, you know, he just, he knows how to put players in position to make big plays. And then if you're Philadelphia, Jalen hurts. You know what you're going to get from the Chiefs, you're going to get a lot of man to man. They're not going to play zone. That, that helps the quarterback. A.J. brown, Devonte Smith, Dallas Goddard, a lot of one on one coverages. I like the Goddard matchup against the Chiefs linebackers, they're kind of getting older, they're kind of getting slower. AJ Brown, you gotta like him one on one against anybody. He's got speed, he's got strength. And Devonte Smith, if you fall asleep on him, he'll run by you. I mean he's legit. 4, 2, 4 3, 40 speed. It's kind of had an off year but you know, this game's indoor. It's going to be on turf. So it's going to play a fast game which I believe benefits the Eagles because I think they're a little quicker out wide out and at running back. So they should be able to get some explosive plays on offense. [00:26:14] Speaker A: Let's switch the defense. Philly, they got a couple second year pros and Jalen Carter, Nolan Smith and they got those rookie DBs, man Mitchell and Dejon just locking down the perimeter. Vic Fangio has done a great job of mixing in season veterans and the young guys and as Jason mentioned, man, they are the top ranked defense in the NFL. Casey, I think you already talked about this here in a little bit. Getting a little bit older in the linebacking position, but they got some solid Ds and linebackers and weren't they playing like a rookie in corner this past game or no? Or am I thinking something else earlier in the year? [00:27:01] Speaker B: Can't remember. [00:27:02] Speaker A: Can't remember. [00:27:02] Speaker C: They got a lot of young guys at corner. Yeah, both teams do really. Both secondaries are really, they got Steve. [00:27:07] Speaker A: Spagnulo and so two really smart guys leading both defensive France. Let's talk about edges I guess because we, we can talk about the same thing all day. Who do you give the edge to on offense? Who do you give the edge to on defense? [00:27:29] Speaker B: Man, I will say on defense I'll probably give the edge to the Eagles just on where they have been the entire season. You know, controlling the line of scrimmage really not allowing the big play to happen as Aaron kind of talked about. But I mean it's, it's a thin margin offensively. I'll give the edge to the Chiefs, which is kind of contradictory as I go a thing and I think the pure reason of that the home run is Saquon, but I think the X factor in the offense is Mahomes where he's not needed. One plate, one player to hit the home run. It can come from anywhere at any time to anyone. Which, you know, it could be more Kelsey, but we talked about all this cast of characters that could be in the game where Juju Smith Schuster gets a 54 yard catch out of nowhere and it's like no one's surprised. And I think that's, that's the unpredictable thing about the Chiefs offense that can go there where we're probably just waiting for Saquon to have someone make a mistake or Mahomes is going to put you in a position at any, any point in the drive. So I, I don't know if that's the, now I'm alluding to. The matchup is going to be Eagles defense vs. Chiefs offense and that's the matchup that decides the game. Because if, if, if they're able to control my homes and don't allow something like, don't allow them to extend, you know, don't allow him to make something special happen. That's probably the key to the game. [00:29:13] Speaker A: You know, every time I see Smith Schuster open for like a 40 yard game, he's not that fast. This guy might be like the slowest, fastest receiver in the NFL. He just looks like he's, he's carrying like 50 pound bricks on him. But yeah, he takes like, like these wide angles. Still able to get another 10, 20 yards on these receptions. He doesn't get too many because he doesn't break off from the defender really fast very often. But every time it does, it's just always fascinating. [00:29:42] Speaker C: I mean he's a, he's a crafty veteran. I mean he's been in the league probably what, eight years now? [00:29:47] Speaker A: Well, I liked it when he was on my team. Now I don't like him. [00:29:50] Speaker C: I mean, yeah, going back, I mean, defensively I'm, I'M giving the edge to the Eagles. I just, I mean I think they're going to come up with a good game plan to really keep Momes in the pocket. I mean they can't let Mahomes see Mahomes. I, I think I read another interesting stat. If he runs for 30, 35 or 3040 plus yards like he's 7 and 0, they don't lose. [00:30:17] Speaker A: It's the 40 yard mark. [00:30:18] Speaker C: So he ran pretty well against Buffalo. I, I, what I like with Philadelphia is they're going to get a lot of internal pressure from Jaylen Carner and Greg and Davis coming up the middle. They're the old Georgia Bulldogs. Yeah, that's, that's really the key. [00:30:33] Speaker A: That's right. They just drafted all Georgia. [00:30:34] Speaker C: I mean they basically have their whole T line is basically Georgia's dominance from the early 2021. [00:30:40] Speaker A: Everyone's like what the hell are they doing? But it's worked out. [00:30:43] Speaker C: Yeah, I mean Nolan Smith Jr. Is a really good player. Yeah, he's, he comes off the edge. You know, he got hurt towards his end there in Georgia. He didn't play his rookie year two. I think he had like a torn pectoral something. But the key is not over pursue from the outside on the rush. That way Mahomes can't go around you. And then like I said, I think Jalen Carter is going to bring a lot of pressure up the middle. That's going to make it tough for Mahomes to step up and get, you know, because that's what my homes like to do. He likes to step up and sneak out to the pocket and run. So I, I agree. I mean and Vic Fangio say what you want. He's been a D coordinator basically in this league for like since we were born. It seems like he's always had great defenses. Harbaugh had him there with the Niners, you know, the Dolphins last year, whatever, you know, chemistry didn't match. They moved off of them. Jason just mentioned, you know, the Bears. So I mean this guy is a great D.C. he's going to come up a good game plan. He's going to limit big plays. He plays a more conservative approach. A lot of kind of zone man mix. Not a lot of blitzing, but selective on its blitzing. So I, I do give the edge to the Eagles defense. Offensively I'm going to disagree with Jason. I'm going to go with the Eagles. I just think that offensive line is so dominant that Saquon just such a big home run threat. I mean you, you mentioned it Rome, you can, he can, he can go 10 carries and get 20 yards and then boom, 40, 50 yards, he's gone just like that. [00:32:16] Speaker A: He's a two to three yard guy and then all of a sudden he'll break off for the 60 yards. [00:32:19] Speaker C: And if you're not disciplined or like Jason Ment, if you're late on the pursuer, if you over pursue, cut back, engage you. And with spags you, like I said, you know what you're going to get, you're going to get a lot of man to man and you're going to get blitzes on third and four, third and five. Like there's not going to just be sitting back and playing coverage. He doesn't, he doesn't come out with a conservative approach. So if you could pick up blitzes, you know spags like to show blitz one side come the other kind of mix and match. If you can pick those up, you're going to get a ton of one on ones. And I like Brown, I like Smith, I like Goddard to be able to win all their matchups. Not, not all the time but more consistent than not. And the big plays are there. So I mean when's the last time the Chiefs really threw a go Route 40, 50 yards down the Silent for just one on one route? I mean they'll throw them every now and then to Xavier Worthy. But Brown, Smith, they usually get two or three a game. I mean Brown's dropped a couple here in the snow against the Rams. So I mean when I look at it, I think the Eagles have the edge everywhere except more most importantly maybe quarterback. Obviously Mahomes I would pit over Hertz but yeah, I give the edge to the Eagles offense. That offensive line is just what they are. They're dynamic, they can just take over a game. Can they control Chris Jones? Can he be a difference maker? To me I think Jaylen Carter is going to be a better diff different to maker in this game versus Chris Jones. So we'll see how it plays out. But I give both edges to the Eagles offense and defensively. [00:33:52] Speaker A: All right, real quick I don't know if you guys down to take a break after we talk about special teams then we'll come back with some bets. But he you guys give the edge on the special teams. [00:34:05] Speaker B: I think Aaron already I don't want to corner I to me it's probably the Chiefs in this game. I think you look at Harrison Butler and where he's at and from a postseason perspective and he's you Know, fairly been automatic where they, they've been able to go, you know, could be in other aspects of special teams if you're talking about the punting and stuff like that. But you know, in a margin so thin, having the better kicker in this could play dividends. And I'll, I'll give it to the Chiefs. [00:34:37] Speaker C: Yeah, I mean, I'm going to the Chief special teams. Harrison Buckner. I. Jake Elliott struggled. He's made kicks, but he's missed extra points. And the Chiefs return game has been great. So this is interesting. The Chiefs return game, what their. Their kick returners done what, two, two kickoffs or punt returns beyond the 50 yard line. That kind of changed momentum in games. But the Eagles have forced two turnovers on kick returns. Ones against the packers and one against the Commanders. That's, that's interesting to keep a track here, but I, I would agree. I mean Buckner's, he's, he's almost automatic in the playoffs. But Jake Elliott, you know, will he step up? He did step up in the snow, but he's been missing extra points. But yeah, I give this light edge to the Chief special teams. [00:35:23] Speaker A: Nice. You guys ready to do some bets? [00:35:26] Speaker C: Yeah. [00:35:27] Speaker A: Cool. See a quick break. FYI, we are recording this pod Thursday night. Thursday morning. Thursday, Wednesday night after midnight. So today's podcast is unofficially brought to you by Celsius on my side and by Monster Energy. Sugar Free. [00:35:56] Speaker B: Zero Ultra. [00:35:58] Speaker C: Zero ultra Shout out to Sugar Free in Pomona. Man. Good songs, man. He's seen some good songs. [00:36:03] Speaker A: Sugar Free. I saw him live a couple times. And let's not forget today's Aaron's birthday. [00:36:09] Speaker C: Well, it was we fast that we passed beyond that point there. [00:36:12] Speaker A: Happy birthday. [00:36:14] Speaker C: Appreciate it, guys. [00:36:15] Speaker A: I was gonna mention the beginning of the pod, but I was already frustrated just talking about the Chiefs. [00:36:20] Speaker C: I make a lot of people frustrated. [00:36:21] Speaker A: I got flustered. So we've, we're feeling a little energized up now. Jason entertained us with some old school Shawn Michaels music. Him and Aaron dancing during our break. So now we're back better than ever. [00:36:39] Speaker B: Pumped up, told me to break it. [00:36:41] Speaker C: Down, break it down, break it down. [00:36:45] Speaker A: So time to pick our bets and time to talk about some prop bets from Mr. At himself. So he gave us 1, 2, 3, 4. [00:36:56] Speaker C: I think it doesn't say 10. 10. [00:36:58] Speaker A: Yeah, it looks less than a dozen. [00:37:01] Speaker C: But Yeah, I think 10. [00:37:03] Speaker B: It's 10. [00:37:04] Speaker A: 10. So should we just go from top to bottom? Is that, is that how should we do it? 18. [00:37:08] Speaker C: Yeah, let's do it, man. Ready To. Since you can't read the list. He's ready to give it out. [00:37:13] Speaker A: I can react. I got it blown up. All right, let me out, Tom. [00:37:18] Speaker C: Like us. Blow me up, dude. [00:37:20] Speaker A: I miss that show. [00:37:21] Speaker C: I do too. [00:37:22] Speaker A: That was a really good show. I, I, you know what? I sent an email, I think, last year, like, hey, would you consider doing a podcast? Try to get him on maybe? He might. Maybe we should try that. Get. [00:37:37] Speaker C: It's a godfather, man. [00:37:38] Speaker A: It's the God godfather of. Of what, though? [00:37:43] Speaker C: I guess. What? Friday or just late afternoon talk radio? AM radio has to be like a section that wasn't sports related. [00:37:49] Speaker A: He was an AM. He was FM. [00:37:51] Speaker C: Yeah. FM. Yeah, you're right. 97.1. [00:37:53] Speaker A: But he did. Was he pre Howard Stern? I think he was. Right. Just not as popular. I think there's like a little angst about that. A little. [00:38:05] Speaker C: He wasn't as syndicated. Right. And then he didn't go the ex IM route. Right. [00:38:10] Speaker A: It was probably too real. [00:38:12] Speaker C: Yeah. I mean, he was, he was famous in LA for the. I know, we're getting off topic. The old flash Friday. [00:38:21] Speaker B: I know. Yeah. You're talking about old radio, guys. I just remember Aaron and I, you know, listened to radio or to listen to Mad Dogs Morning Madhouse on sports talk radio in the morning. On the way to. [00:38:31] Speaker A: That was you guys, huh? [00:38:33] Speaker B: That was us. [00:38:34] Speaker A: I, I think Aaron told me about that Mad Dog out of Chicago, man. [00:38:40] Speaker B: It was like, they have like, I've got no sports programming. Let's just get a shock jock DJ out of Chicago. Just talking random stuff. [00:38:48] Speaker C: Yeah, we would mix that in the morning. I think Cowherd was on in the morning. Right at that time. [00:38:54] Speaker A: It used to be in six. Morning. [00:38:56] Speaker B: Yeah. The herd was six. Six to ten, man. That was the staple, you know. [00:39:00] Speaker C: Yeah. [00:39:01] Speaker B: Driving out. [00:39:01] Speaker C: So like, we would go back and forth between commercials and slip over to. [00:39:05] Speaker A: The Jim Roll was my guy. [00:39:08] Speaker C: Yeah. [00:39:09] Speaker B: Rome was the afternoon. But on the, on the way. On the way to. On the way to school, you get that early morning, you listen to the herd and you listen to spanning the globe. And then we were switching over to Man Dog. [00:39:18] Speaker A: Who else was in the morning, though? [00:39:20] Speaker B: They brought in Dan Patrick after that when he left espn. [00:39:23] Speaker A: And then, because I didn't like that, because I didn't like the herd for a while. [00:39:28] Speaker B: Somebody else. I mean, the herd replaced Kornheiser. But that was before. Before. Oh, no, that was when we were in high school. [00:39:36] Speaker A: Yeah, but I think it was Mike and Mike in the morning. [00:39:41] Speaker B: It was, it was before the Herd. I mean, if you were waking up at 3:00am Pacific Time to listen to Mike and Mike. [00:39:46] Speaker C: But yeah, there's Mike and Mike heard. I think Rome. Jim Rome came on and now call it time spot like 9 to 12. [00:39:56] Speaker A: Yeah. [00:39:57] Speaker B: You remember they had a TJ Simers and Rogan. And they're in a little wire too, Right. [00:40:03] Speaker A: I just couldn't understand you guys. Remember, guys? [00:40:05] Speaker C: I think they had in the afternoon. I don't know if Jason. The damn. What were they called? [00:40:10] Speaker B: Petros and Money. [00:40:11] Speaker C: No, before Petro. Some money. [00:40:16] Speaker B: Our guy Victor Brick, bro. [00:40:18] Speaker C: BTP man. Victor Breaks a man, dude. [00:40:22] Speaker A: Radio now on Sirius. [00:40:24] Speaker B: Okay. Yeah. It was Steve Hartman, Victor Brick and Michael Thompson. [00:40:29] Speaker C: Oh, yeah, man. [00:40:30] Speaker A: Steve Hartman. [00:40:32] Speaker C: Steve Hartman was. I like Steve Hartman because he wasn't afraid to, like, go against, like, the local teams. Yeah, Michael Thompson was always like a Laker apologetic. And like, Hartman would just be like, michael, what are you doing? What are you doing? It's time to press a panic button. It's time to press the panic button. And VTP was like, tranquility. Tranquility. Guys, Vibes. [00:40:51] Speaker B: There's just vibes. [00:40:52] Speaker C: Do you feel it? Do you feel it? Kobe, the Mamba. His hair is on fire. [00:40:58] Speaker A: Which one's the Laker station down there? Is it 7 10? [00:41:00] Speaker B: It's 710 now. It's 710 now. But at that time it was 570. It was 570 when Michael Thompson and them were on. [00:41:10] Speaker C: Who was the ESPN afternoon guys? [00:41:13] Speaker B: Ireland. [00:41:14] Speaker C: Yeah, it still does Lakers, right? Ireland does radio for the Lakers, right? Play by play. [00:41:19] Speaker A: 2 Pro Laker. Even when they're doing bad, it's like, God, dude, where's Mason? [00:41:23] Speaker C: Is he gone or is he still there? [00:41:24] Speaker A: Where is Mason? [00:41:26] Speaker B: I thought they still had the show, but I. I'm out of the local LA sports radio. [00:41:30] Speaker C: I don't listen to ESPN radio anymore, so I can't tell you. [00:41:34] Speaker A: Can't say either. They're definitely on the serious version. [00:41:36] Speaker C: I mean, I know 570s got Dan Patrick calling, then Rogan and Rodney and then Petros and Money. That's the lineup that I know. [00:41:45] Speaker A: I get none of those. I don't miss it. All right, back to super bowl talk. [00:41:50] Speaker B: All right, we delved into local LA radio here. [00:41:54] Speaker C: We just gave you a recap of BAS FM radio, of Tom Lycus into, like, the last 20 years of sports talk. [00:42:01] Speaker A: Maybe we should just start listening to wrestling intros now to spice it up. Aaron's the rule. Prop bets first one, both teams to score over 19 and a half. Look like a 14. Over is minus 200. And under is plus 100. 150. Aaron, break it down. [00:42:27] Speaker C: Yeah. So both teams just score over 19 and a half points. [00:42:31] Speaker A: I think that's a given. [00:42:32] Speaker C: If you like the yes. You get minus 200. If you like to know it's plus 150. I personally like the yes. I think both teams are going to score over 19 and a half. I like yes. At the 2 to 1 odds. [00:42:45] Speaker A: This ain't a good bet, though. [00:42:49] Speaker B: It's a. That's free. Free couple. You know. Was it. How much you gonna win on this, Aaron? How much you putting down? [00:42:57] Speaker A: Yeah, a thousand bucks. So you can win 500, I guess. Okay. [00:43:00] Speaker C: I mean. Yeah. I mean, these are put down, you know, not bad. I mean. Yeah. 155. Whatever bucks. [00:43:09] Speaker A: That's true. [00:43:10] Speaker C: No, if you like. No, I mean, 100 makes you 150. A thousand makes you 1500. So it depends on what direction you want to go. [00:43:18] Speaker A: Yeah. I don't think the super bowl is lined up to be under 19 and a half on either team. [00:43:24] Speaker C: I like the I like yes on both. [00:43:27] Speaker B: I like yes as well. [00:43:28] Speaker A: All right. Unanimous. Jalen hurts over under half an interception. Over is plus 118. Under is minus 154. [00:43:43] Speaker C: So basically, yeah. This bed is saying, do you think Jalen hurts is going to throw an interception? I'm going with yes. I'm going to take over half an interception. I say he throws at least 1 int. I like the plus odds at plus 118. I'm saying yes. He throws an interception. [00:44:00] Speaker A: Jason. [00:44:02] Speaker B: I'm gonna say no because I think they're just keeping it out of his hands the entire game and not allowing him the risks to be able to do it. I know it's probably not a great Bet either at -154. What Aaron's saying on here. But I just. I just think it's going to be a super conservative game out of him. And it's going to be easy. Completions is the only route they're going to allow him to go. [00:44:23] Speaker A: Yeah, that's a stay away from me. Let's stay away the old stay away. [00:44:30] Speaker B: No, I'm writing all of these down because like a stay away should count as a loss at this point. [00:44:35] Speaker C: But we should put stay away at. How many stay aways does Rome have on these 10 prop bets at plus or minus? Let's just say two. Plus or minus two. There's one already. [00:44:47] Speaker A: I think you're gonna definitely head over. [00:44:48] Speaker B: No. [00:44:49] Speaker C: Yeah. [00:44:49] Speaker B: I was like you gotta put this in like three and a half. [00:44:51] Speaker A: Oh, that's gonna say. [00:44:52] Speaker C: I was gonna say two and a half, but. [00:44:54] Speaker A: But yeah, that's why percentage is so high. I hit when I hit. I know when to stay away. I know when to pull out. [00:45:01] Speaker B: It's like. Yeah, I take the. [00:45:03] Speaker C: You're the only one with a kid here, Rome. So I don't know think that the pull out's working for you, brother? [00:45:07] Speaker A: No, someone. I thought I was gonna stay. Actually. That's not true. [00:45:12] Speaker C: Rome's. [00:45:12] Speaker B: Rome's all in when it's minus 700 for whatever the yes is or whatever. Yeah, yeah. This is my lock of the week right here. Or, or, or it's. I think I'm gonna lean upset on this. This could be my upset of the week. And then we near it. Never hear about it again. And then when the upset does happen. Yeah, just. [00:45:30] Speaker C: Just pick a side here, Rome. Do you think Jalen Hurts throws an interception or not? [00:45:39] Speaker A: I think if he does, they lose. Some say no. [00:45:44] Speaker C: All right, there you go. We got one yes and mean two nos. And you guys, what I would like. [00:45:50] Speaker A: Better if it was like, does Jalen Hurts have a turnover? Is it a fumble or an interception? I think they get one of these for the game over under. If you can find that one up. I. I would like that prop bet better. [00:46:01] Speaker C: I. I would agree with that. I think there's a chance he fumbles too. I'll let you see if I can find that. [00:46:05] Speaker A: So total turnovers. I think they get one more than that, it's game over. So I would like that bet a little bit better. See, look. Look that up while we go over the. The rest. [00:46:18] Speaker C: Well, I'm looking at the site I use. I'm sure there's other sites. FanDuel or someone has them. I'm looking up my. My bed site here, so I'm seeing if they. I'll see if they have that. There's a lot of bets on this thing, so it's hard to kind of scramble through here at 12. [00:46:31] Speaker A: Oh, yeah, interception's. You know, if there's a bad exchange, which. That, that would. I would rather have an interception than a bad exchange, if that makes sense. I think a bad exchange just like takes the sales out of you. [00:46:44] Speaker B: But. [00:46:45] Speaker A: In the meantime, Isaiah Pacheco over, under receiving yards. Is that right? [00:46:54] Speaker B: Four and a half. [00:46:55] Speaker C: Yeah. [00:46:56] Speaker A: Jesus Christ. [00:46:58] Speaker C: At minus 120 odds. [00:47:00] Speaker A: Yeah. Wow. [00:47:02] Speaker C: I think we were talking about this one off the air before we even started the show. [00:47:07] Speaker A: I think you and Jason were yeah. [00:47:09] Speaker C: Over. [00:47:09] Speaker A: Minus 120. Under is minus 109. This is like deadlock even. That's. That's amazing. [00:47:16] Speaker C: Yeah, I mean, he hasn't been used a lot, but I. I personally love over four and a half yards. [00:47:24] Speaker A: Casey has done a really good job of like releasing these little wrinkles in their offense in the playoffs. I think that's why they look like in the regular season. And then they have like these little tricks and, and you know, tricks of the trade up their sleeves that they can pull out that no one has seen before. I like the over. [00:47:43] Speaker C: Yeah. I'm taking over four and a half yards too. [00:47:47] Speaker B: Yeah. You unanimous? This is basically. Do you think he gets a catch? [00:47:53] Speaker A: He's getting a catch, yes. [00:47:55] Speaker B: And if he's getting a catch, it's probably going to be something out to the flat or a screen or something that's going to give him an easy like 5, 6 yards. [00:48:03] Speaker A: I think the Eagles will be able to swarm Mahomes and fluster up a little bit even better than what the Bills were able to do. And he's going to take advantage and Pacheco should be able to take advantage of that as well. Saquon broccoli. Remember that, Aaron? [00:48:20] Speaker C: I do remember it, man. [00:48:21] Speaker A: Broccoli. [00:48:22] Speaker C: I mean, I'm gonna take credit for getting Saquon where he's at right now. You've been eating that broccoli, bro. [00:48:31] Speaker A: I like a good broccoli that's like grilled, some butter or cheese on it. That's a little too much. I just like salt and pepper. Old school. Little squirt of lemon on it. I like dipping in the mashed potatoes with some fried chicken or a steak. Damn it. This city's so loud. Someone's yelling on the outside. It's probably some. This homeless lady just yelled at me when I was coming home earlier today. Do you have $20? Saquon broccoli rushing yards? Over 114. Minus 114. That is really, really high. Under 114 and a half is. They're equal. [00:49:20] Speaker C: Same. Same odds on this one. [00:49:22] Speaker A: What the hell? [00:49:23] Speaker C: Same odds that is. [00:49:25] Speaker A: Dude. What's up with these prop bets that you picked out? Are you with us? [00:49:33] Speaker C: This was the time whenever I sent you, what, 12 hours ago when I took a look at it. That's was the odds on it. [00:49:38] Speaker A: Are you smoking crack on your birthday? [00:49:42] Speaker C: Negative on that one. [00:49:44] Speaker A: Jesus, that. That's a tough one. I. I definitely like him getting over 85. I think that's my number for the game. 114. [00:49:59] Speaker B: 114 is a lot. And I, I want to, and I. [00:50:05] Speaker A: Want to say yes, I'll be rooting for him to get 150. [00:50:10] Speaker B: I agree. But I'm doing some quick off the cuff research right now and I want to verify this is right. [00:50:17] Speaker A: Yeah. [00:50:17] Speaker B: Is Lamar Jackson the only person that has rushed over 100 yards against the Chiefs this year. [00:50:25] Speaker C: In Week 1? [00:50:27] Speaker A: That can't be right, man. [00:50:32] Speaker C: I, I don't know. I don't have the answer to that. I'm being. [00:50:35] Speaker B: The Chiefs estimates on it estimate had 87. Jerome Ford had 84, Naji Harris had 74, Jalen Warren had 71, Chubba Hubbards had 58. It only goes down from there. I, that's accurate. [00:50:53] Speaker A: I don't, I mean how good is their rushing defense? Do we have that ranking? Can I pull that up? I thought I just had this up right now. [00:51:05] Speaker C: Cook room for 85. [00:51:09] Speaker B: You did the Chief. [00:51:12] Speaker C: 88. [00:51:13] Speaker B: Okay. The Chiefs are with the 8th ranked rushing defense. So they allowed 101 yards per game. [00:51:19] Speaker A: Well, that's not a lot. [00:51:22] Speaker C: How many yards a game? [00:51:23] Speaker B: 101. [00:51:25] Speaker C: Yeah. So that means I probably then yeah, Lamar is probably the only guy that did it then. [00:51:29] Speaker A: Total Defense are at 8. Ninth passing. Where are they in passing? [00:51:38] Speaker B: I guess when you're, when you're looking at this bet and I'll just say I'll take the under because I think you're going with the trend. But it's basically. Do you think Saquon gets a massive run? That's just gonna flip the script, you know, does he have a 74 yard run and then a bunch of small two to three yard runs the rest of the game to push you over. I just don't think the big playability is going to be, is going to be there for how tight the defense is going to play. So I'll take the under. [00:52:02] Speaker A: Jason, could you look at the playoffs as well? Because yeah, they were ranked 8th in the regular season but in the playoffs just lobbying 101.8. But in the playoffs it's been 148. [00:52:15] Speaker B: Yeah, 148 in the playoffs and they've allowed three rushing touchdowns. [00:52:20] Speaker C: Yeah. No runner over 100 yards. [00:52:23] Speaker A: That's pretty impressive. [00:52:24] Speaker C: Outside of what Lamar did it in week one. [00:52:28] Speaker A: That's impressive. [00:52:29] Speaker C: Jason's on under 114 and a half. The trend tells you to take the under, but we've seen sake one break out in the second half on a lot of these games. So I'm leaning over. I'm going to take over. [00:52:46] Speaker A: All right. [00:52:47] Speaker C: So I think that trend's going to break. I think he's going to. I mean he probably leads in league in at least 40 plus yard rushing plays throughout the season. I think he's going to get one here in this, in the Super Bowl. Chiefs are going to get worn down a little bit maybe you know, over pursue a play, you know, get tripped up. Like we mentioned earlier, linebacker just can't fill a hole or a gap. I'll take the over 114 and a. [00:53:12] Speaker A: Half depending on how many times they run him. Saquon's gonna probably have carries. His carries, his carries. [00:53:20] Speaker C: Carries for the over. Under I think we're at 21 and a half. [00:53:23] Speaker A: There was a lot. Typically he has like 14 to 18. [00:53:30] Speaker C: But Jason did say he expects a more conservative game plan. [00:53:35] Speaker A: So Sirianni, I think he's going balls to the walls on this one. That's tough, dude. That's a tough bet. Thanks for putting that in there. Not a big fan. That's gonna be a. I'm curious what, what the odds are. Like I'm bleeding under. If you think he's running 20 times though, you imagine he'll probably get 12 to 15 that are just gonna be going two to three yards. If you like his chance to go break one open for 40, which he'll probably get at least one that'll put him at the under. But if you like him to do two of those, you know, and it breaks the game open and the Eagles run away with this victory, then you're definitely hitting the over. [00:54:32] Speaker C: Saquon's sitting at right now. Over under 20. One and a half carries. A number that's really high. I, I was thinking about putting on is Jalen Hurts is at nine and a half carries. [00:54:46] Speaker A: Dude, what's up with these odds here? [00:54:49] Speaker C: But you got to remember they do a lot of Tush pushes. Those do count as carries. [00:54:52] Speaker A: Yeah, I get three or four of those in the game. And he'll definitely have at least three. [00:54:57] Speaker B: Rollouts and some of those Tush pushes too. He's getting two to three yards too. Yeah, it isn't just usually one yard. They, they move the pile. [00:55:06] Speaker A: Aaron's Green Bay team is trying to get a ban next year. You hear that? [00:55:13] Speaker C: No. [00:55:13] Speaker A: Your soft ass packers trying to ban the. The Touchware Saints. It requires no talent, no skill. [00:55:21] Speaker C: I'm a fan of the Tush push. So I'm, I'm not going to sign that waiver or whatever they got going on. [00:55:25] Speaker B: You see, you see people say that but watched. So you say that, but it's like, no, you need. You need five offensive linemen that move a defense and it didn't work three times. [00:55:40] Speaker A: I would have not ran it another six times in that game. Probably cost them. All right, so, Jason, you're under on the, on the broccoli one. Aaron's over. I'm bleeding on the under on this one. [00:55:56] Speaker B: I really thought he was gonna do a stay away Aaron. [00:55:58] Speaker A: It's definitely a stay away from me. I'm not. That's an elite. [00:56:01] Speaker B: No, you said under. So I'm putting. [00:56:04] Speaker C: We'll make them squeeze a bed out of every one of these. [00:56:06] Speaker A: I mean, a lean's not a loss. Guys are Nolan Smith Jr. Sacks. We're gonna post this, this yellow page on, on, on X, by the way. This is just too good. Dude. [00:56:23] Speaker C: Do it, man. [00:56:24] Speaker A: Your, your penmanship is, is impeccable. [00:56:27] Speaker C: I thought it was one of my best of the year. Definitely, Definitely my best at my new age, I'll put it that way, since it's my only one. But yeah, for sure. [00:56:39] Speaker A: No mistakes, no white out. I, I even like the $2 signs for bets. [00:56:43] Speaker C: Yeah, I threw that in there. [00:56:48] Speaker A: Nolan Smith Jr. Sacks over half a sack plus 100. Under is minus 130. [00:56:58] Speaker B: When you, when you do post that robe, I'll, I'll see if any of the viewers or listeners can find the at least one spelling error that I've identified in that. [00:57:08] Speaker A: I. I knew there's gonna be one. Hey, what is it? [00:57:14] Speaker B: I before E except after C. Ah, God. [00:57:24] Speaker A: It's like a fun, like little crossword puzzle. You should always have one of these. [00:57:28] Speaker C: I, I, I keep you guys on your toes, man. I keep you guys. [00:57:31] Speaker B: I wasn't, I wasn't on the toes. I was just waiting. I was waiting. We, we haven't got to it yet. If, if it makes you feel that we haven't got to the spelling area, like successful. [00:57:41] Speaker A: All right. Yeah. Nolan Smith. What do you guys got? I'm leaning on over on this one. [00:57:50] Speaker C: I'm gonna agree. I'm taking over half a sack for Nolan Smith Jr. [00:57:58] Speaker B: Yeah, I think it's tough with momes because. [00:58:03] Speaker A: Yes, this guy just gets rid of the ball right when he gets rid of the ball, like he's talking the passer. [00:58:10] Speaker B: Yeah. People get scared to freaking tackle them because they're gonna get a flag thrown. [00:58:16] Speaker A: Dude, it is cold. [00:58:17] Speaker B: Aaron's bringing this one up for a reason, so I'm gonna say yes as well. [00:58:22] Speaker A: All right, that's unanimous picks, guys. We're halfway there. Successful two point conversions, like just for just one two point conversion. Is that right? [00:58:38] Speaker C: Correct. Any at any one point in time will there be a successful two point conversion? [00:58:42] Speaker A: I think that's really stupid. Yes. Is plus 180. No. Is minus 251. I. That's one thing I like about the NFL now. A lot of guys over analyze everything and they'll go for two points. I like it. [00:59:06] Speaker B: I'm all in on yes. At plus 180. [00:59:08] Speaker C: Yeah, I love it too. At plus 180. Yes. [00:59:13] Speaker A: Because what other game can you see? Teams go for two points, not get it the first time, not get it the second time. So they have to go for it on the third time. [00:59:21] Speaker C: Well, the Bills did go what, 03? [00:59:24] Speaker A: Yeah, dude. They could have got three points. That's the difference of the game. Not talking about the Bills game anymore. It's banned from the show. We're done. [00:59:36] Speaker C: Till August of next year or this year. [00:59:40] Speaker A: That game's. I. I want to watch it again. But I watched it twice and just pissed me off the second time around. They lost it anyways. Yeah. Yeah. So unanimous again, right? Two point curviza. I like that bet, dude. [00:59:54] Speaker C: Yeah. Plus 180. I really like that. [00:59:56] Speaker A: Put a thousand bucks on it. 1 1800. Money in the bank. Total field goals made. Over two and a half is minus 275. Under two and a half is 180. [01:00:10] Speaker B: Before you get to that Rome, if you were wondering in the audience, the last one was where the spelling error was at. [01:00:16] Speaker A: Successful. [01:00:17] Speaker B: Yes. [01:00:18] Speaker A: Yeah. [01:00:19] Speaker C: Missing. [01:00:20] Speaker B: Missing famous S. Yeah. Missing two S's. [01:00:26] Speaker A: Although to be honest, it looks like S U C E S. [01:00:32] Speaker B: It could be that too. Not Aaron's worst work. But just want to make sure he's keep us on our toes. Making sure, you know, we're all good there. [01:00:43] Speaker A: That second seat definitely looks closer to that. Following E. Then it's kind of like a combo. [01:00:52] Speaker C: Put on. Put it on X so you can figure it out. [01:00:55] Speaker A: All right. [01:00:56] Speaker C: Send them a free prop bet for whatever. Whatever sport comes up next. [01:01:03] Speaker A: Total field goals made. That's a tough one. Is that. That's just like field goal field goals. Right. Three points. Not extra points. [01:01:14] Speaker C: Correct. [01:01:15] Speaker B: Actual field goals. The line definitely tells you this is an easy over. Especially with how good the Chief's defense can be in the red zone. Allowing the yards but not the points overall. How great the Eagles defense is and tighten it up. I think it's pretty easy over, personally. [01:01:44] Speaker C: Yeah, I would agree. I mean there was Prop bets for 3 and a half and 4 and a half. But 2 and a half seems like the easiest one to get. Yeah, I, I like the over. I mean, it is. You're laying a bit of juice at minus 275, but considering we have two elite defenses, both pretty good in the red zone, I think we get at least three field goals in this game. [01:02:08] Speaker A: Well, what is. What is it at, like three or three and a half? [01:02:15] Speaker C: Let me see if I can find. [01:02:16] Speaker A: It because not a lot of value here at two and a half. If you're going to go over. [01:02:25] Speaker C: I'll look and see if I can find it. [01:02:26] Speaker A: Yeah, no worries. So while we go for like the Saquon or turnovers for Jalen hurts. And now field goals. Kc Total field goals. So you went back to back field goals. The previous one was made field goals. This is total field goals. [01:02:48] Speaker C: It's basically made field goals too. [01:02:50] Speaker A: Okay. [01:02:51] Speaker B: If you're saying over at two and a half on total, I think it's an easy one for Casey to go one and a half two personally. And if you're asking about the three and a half Rome, I think it's even, even better. One. I. I don't want to tip my hand on who I'm picking to win this game too, but I think it's. It's easy for Kansas City for me as well. [01:03:12] Speaker C: So three and a half is minus 105 on the over, minus 135 on the under. [01:03:19] Speaker A: Hold on, say that again. [01:03:21] Speaker C: So minus 105 on over three and a half field goals. That's it. And under is under three and a half field goals is minus 135. If you want to go over four and a half field goals, it's plus two hundred and twenty and minus and minus three hundred and forty five. So I think the best odds action, if you're really trying to make some money, is over two and a half, even though you're laying 275. Yeah, three and a half. Three and a half's risky. And four and a half. Really no value in taking the under. [01:03:57] Speaker A: Yeah. Not a fan of that prop dude. Not a fan. I'll go over, though. [01:04:05] Speaker B: So you had over. You had over on both field goal bets. [01:04:15] Speaker A: I got the over on on the other one. I'll even say over on the three and a half. [01:04:23] Speaker B: Casey, you're over two at one and a half. [01:04:27] Speaker A: Yeah, they'll get two. I. I trust this defense to hold them to the field goals. [01:04:33] Speaker B: Aaron, you were over on both too. [01:04:35] Speaker C: Yeah, I like over. I think Casey gets at least two field goals made. [01:04:39] Speaker A: Yeah, I'm. That's. That's a two. I did just. The value on these things suck. Isaiah Pacheco receptions over under one and a half. If you're leaning over plus 177 under is minus 2 39. I think we talked about this other. So you basically just doubled up on Pacheco on here, huh? [01:05:15] Speaker C: Yeah, well, I mean we've got them at. I think we both were unanimous on over four and a half total yards receiving. Do you think he's going to get at least two catches? [01:05:25] Speaker A: I would like to see Pacheco's catches the last few games. [01:05:29] Speaker C: He hasn't been used a lot. [01:05:31] Speaker A: Yeah. [01:05:32] Speaker C: So that's why I think the numbers are low on him. But remember he missed what 10 weeks because of injury. Kind of been used sparingly. So I, I like him as prop bets in this game because I think you're going to need a lot of speed and he brings a lot more speed than Cream Hunt and Cunt's not a receiving threat. You also have what P. Ryan but I think Pacheco's the guy to go with. So I, I like the over one and a half catches at plus 177. That's to me that's really good value there. [01:05:59] Speaker A: Good value there. Thank God. Yeah, why not? [01:06:05] Speaker B: Yeah. Rome if you're looking at it in the postseason, he has two catches for 12 yards. [01:06:13] Speaker C: So six yards average to catch total. That's good for one prop bet win. [01:06:17] Speaker A: Out of two games he has two catches. [01:06:20] Speaker B: Yep. [01:06:21] Speaker A: God. [01:06:21] Speaker B: Regular season, obviously didn't play the full season but had 12 catches for 70, 79 yards. So if he gets a catch he's averaging oh six or more per catch. So the first prop bet, it's there. I think this one you're just questioning whether he gets involved in the passing game twice. I think where you side where you like this from Aaron's perspective is that you, the Eagles. Well, the Eagles defense is going to be tight and you're not going to have the ability to stretch. You don't have the really guy that's going to stretch the field anymore. So you're looking for holes in the defense, potential dump downs, you're looking for screens or stuff like that. You know, is Pacheco the wrinkle or is he just the emergency, you know, get the ball. Yeah. So I mean I think that's what you're looking for value on the board. Out of all the ones Aaron probably put here that we're saying Something is a dog. I think probably the best one to just try to get a little more value out of this. That. Hey, is he gonna get. He's at least gonna get six yards, probably. And if he gets the one catch, just because you get another crap catch over there, too, I'll say over two. [01:07:33] Speaker A: Yeah, there's some tough ones, Aaron. [01:07:37] Speaker C: Yes. Tough ones. I mean, there's a lot. I mean, there's a lot of prop beds, but, yeah, I think Pacheco undervalued in this game, so I like a lot of action from him. [01:07:48] Speaker A: Not nice. All right, another Saquon broccoli. God. [01:07:52] Speaker B: Now I'm gonna say, were you taking. Were you taking the over on that? [01:07:59] Speaker A: I'm leaning. [01:08:00] Speaker C: Yeah, pin him down for the over. [01:08:05] Speaker B: For the over. [01:08:06] Speaker A: All right. [01:08:06] Speaker B: He only took. He only took one. Stay away. Jalen hurts interceptions. [01:08:12] Speaker C: Yeah, I was leaning towards no. Right. That's what he said. So I'm putting him for now for that. [01:08:23] Speaker A: I decide what my pick is during the game. [01:08:25] Speaker B: All right, listen, you have to gamble on these here. Aaron's saying it's a must, must pick. No, stay. [01:08:30] Speaker C: It's the last game of the NFL season. Just. [01:08:35] Speaker A: All right, Saquan Barkley. 70 plus rushing yards and a Philly win. [01:08:43] Speaker C: I got the other numbers for you, Rome, that you were asking for. [01:08:45] Speaker A: Yeah, let's hear them. [01:08:47] Speaker C: So 85 yards rushing and a win is plus 123. [01:08:55] Speaker A: I'll take that, too. [01:08:56] Speaker C: So not much more value and you got to get 15 more yards. [01:09:02] Speaker A: Yeah, you're right. It's just not much at all. [01:09:09] Speaker C: If he has a hundred yards or more rushing in a win, that's plus 140. [01:09:17] Speaker A: Man, they're tough on this, aren't they, this year? [01:09:19] Speaker C: Yeah, well, I mean, they're not. They're not trying to give away three money. [01:09:23] Speaker A: No, that's for sure. [01:09:25] Speaker C: So to me, I mean, if you think he's going to get 21 carries, he just has to average basically three and a half yards or 3.3 yards of carry, which he should do. And if you like Philly to win, you're still getting plus money. Laying 100 bucks. So a thousand would still win you 1100. So to me, if you like Philly and sake one, at least do decent numbers. This is a yes bet. [01:09:51] Speaker A: Well, yeah, this is a. A guarantee. [01:09:53] Speaker C: Again, Philly has to win. I mean, Saquon could go for 200 yards and they lose and you lose this bat. [01:09:57] Speaker A: Oh, yeah. No, well, they're winning because Saquon has at least 70 yards. [01:10:05] Speaker C: Yeah. There is 122. If he gets 120 or more in a Philly win is plus 165. [01:10:15] Speaker A: That's ridiculous. [01:10:18] Speaker C: But you guys both said he was going to get under 114 yards. So you would, you would not take that action. [01:10:24] Speaker A: I would not take that action, but I would take at least 80 yards. 85 in that range. [01:10:30] Speaker C: Yeah, I think, I think that's. Yeah. [01:10:33] Speaker A: So if you guys want to put the other one there, I'm. I'm cool with that too because I'm definitely not. Even if I think Casey is going to win, I'm not going to bet it. Bet further than the win. So. [01:10:45] Speaker C: So I would, I would lean if towards taking a yes on that one. Oh, it's a hard sake. 1 over 70 yards rushing in a silly win. [01:10:56] Speaker A: A couple of Viagra pills. It's a hard yes guarantee. I'm gonna say no guarantee. All right. Well, that was a lot of fun. [01:11:16] Speaker B: There's only one more bet to make room. [01:11:19] Speaker A: Yeah. So who you guys got winning? [01:11:23] Speaker B: Well, I kind of didn't say it there the last, but you needed this 70 plus yards. [01:11:29] Speaker A: You're sticking to your stupid pretty preseason pick. [01:11:33] Speaker B: Rome. Stupid Chiefs with the three peat tight game ends on a Harrison Butger field goal. [01:11:43] Speaker A: You're disgusting. [01:11:45] Speaker B: Three in a row for the Chiefs. [01:11:47] Speaker A: Oh, Ben Johnson breaks his leg in. [01:11:50] Speaker B: Wow. Well, luckily it's the head coach so he can break his leg. And that's not going to stop the mastermind from getting Caleb to put up touchdowns. Remember I told you this Rome last Super bowl that you're going to see without Caleb Williams for a long time this year. So enjoy it while it lasts. [01:12:05] Speaker C: I want odds on that because I want, I want to go. I want to go back up the Brinks truck and bet that one asap. So send me those odds. I'm going Rome. I'm going to take. I've been back and forth on this game. I'm going to go with the Eagles. They think they're the better football team they got. The more talented players, they can make the bigger plays. I know the Chiefs don't make a lot of mistakes, but the Eagles are going to force mistakes similar to what happened to Mahomes when he played Tampa Bay. That was a dominating defensive front. I think the Eagles can dominate up front too. Just be a matter like you said in Rome. Well, they call some holding calls or that early fall starts at that the famous tackle likes to make for the Chiefs there. [01:12:56] Speaker A: Yeah. [01:12:56] Speaker C: So give me, give me the Eagles in A tight one. I'm gonna say they're gonna win. I'll go like 30. I'll go like 29. 23 Eagles. [01:13:10] Speaker A: All right, let me write this down because I don't think Jason's writing this down here. Jason, what's your score? [01:13:15] Speaker B: Man, I didn't give a store. I just told you. The Chiefs are gonna win. [01:13:21] Speaker A: Yeah. [01:13:24] Speaker B: Aaron's saying 29, 23. [01:13:32] Speaker A: Kind of low. [01:13:35] Speaker C: Over. [01:13:36] Speaker B: Under is what you said. 48. [01:13:38] Speaker C: 48 and a half puts the over. [01:13:41] Speaker B: And I, I tend to agree with Aaron. It's gonna hit the over. Yeah, I'm gonna say. I'll say Chiefs 27, 25. [01:14:05] Speaker A: On a field goal. [01:14:06] Speaker B: Yep. [01:14:07] Speaker A: All right, I got 3,227 Eagles. [01:14:16] Speaker C: Who's the MVP man? [01:14:20] Speaker A: Saquon. [01:14:23] Speaker C: I'll take Segue Mahomes. [01:14:28] Speaker A: They hardly ever give it to the losing team, but it's possible. [01:14:32] Speaker C: Well, Jason has the Chiefs winning, so. [01:14:38] Speaker A: Yeah, there's no one else I would name on that team. I just can't see it. Aaron, who do you got for mvp? [01:14:54] Speaker C: Yeah, I. I agree with you. [01:14:56] Speaker B: Room. [01:14:57] Speaker C: I'll take Saquon. I think if the Eagles are going to win sake, one's gonna have to have a really big game. [01:15:02] Speaker A: Yeah, for sure. [01:15:03] Speaker C: I mean, unless Jalen, he could. I mean, he's capable of. Yeah, I mean, it's. It's dangerous though. The Chiefs decided to just stop the run game and play one on one with Devonte Smith and Brown. [01:15:18] Speaker A: Jalen had a great super bowl the last time they played and if they would have won, had every right to win that mvp. [01:15:26] Speaker C: But it hasn't been the same since that Super Bowl. He really has a costly fumble that got returned for a touchdown. That was the difference in that game. [01:15:33] Speaker A: Yeah. That was the only bad play, but yeah. Yeah. No, Sequan, he completes the. The torture of all Giants fans. That replay on NFL Films or Hard Knocks, whatever it. Yeah. That's amazing, man. I'm surprised we spent this much time on. On 10 prop bets, but we got through it and we picked. We picked some winners. Aaron, if you want to put some more winners on the X profile, would love to post this up for you on game day. [01:16:15] Speaker C: Yeah, I'll. I'll shoot you some. I'll shoot you some. [01:16:18] Speaker A: Yeah. And we'll see what happens. I'm feeling pretty good. This gin's making me feel really nice right now. Why walk down the Asus right now and see what's going down? [01:16:28] Speaker C: Asus sounds kind of good right now. Not gonna lie. What are they open till what, two? [01:16:33] Speaker A: Two o'clock? I know the bartender's working tonight. [01:16:35] Speaker C: Chris, didn't you get thrown out of there and then she almost get smacked by a dildo? Last time you were there you said. [01:16:41] Speaker A: Because I was cheering at the Dodgers. [01:16:43] Speaker C: Victory so that was the last time you were in the place, right? [01:16:45] Speaker A: It's a Yankee bar. They were pissed. [01:16:48] Speaker B: Well yeah, even more pissed since they signed every free agent out there. [01:16:53] Speaker A: Yeah dude, people are not happy and honestly I. I don't have anything else to say because they clearly signed everybody. [01:17:01] Speaker C: We will get the baseball. [01:17:02] Speaker A: We will get to baseball in the. [01:17:04] Speaker C: Next six weeks or whatever. [01:17:06] Speaker B: They signed everyone. The. The NBA is just letting the Lakers have everyone as well too. [01:17:10] Speaker A: Just LA talk about that too. I might have to move back down just to celebrate all the championships I'll be winning in the next few years. Thanks guys for staying up late. I'll do a Super bowl edition. That was a fun episode. We out. Peace.

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